The Global Business Travel Association (GBTA) Foundation today announces the results of its latest GBTA BTI™ Outlook – China report, a semi-annual analysis that relates unfolding economic events at home and abroad to their resulting impacts on China’s business travel market. The report, sponsored by Visa Inc., includes the GBTA BTI™; an index of business travel spending that distills market performance over a period of time.
Key highlights of the report include:
- Closely in line with our 2013H2 Outlook, GBTA projects China’s total business travel spend to grow 16.5 percent in 2014 – more than double the rate of China’s GDP growth.
- China’s recent announcement of 2013Q4 and full year GDP growth at 7.7 percent paints a picture of slow (by China standards), but steady growth.
- Throughout 2015, GBTA expects business travel spending to continue to pick up the pace, expanding 17.8 percent to $309 billion USD.
- As GBTA has previously forecasted, China is poised to overtake the U.S. as the number one business travel market in the world. Given our current projected growth in business travel in the two markets, we expect China to surpass the U.S. in spending as early as next year.
- The surge in Chinese business travel spending is driven by both domestic and international outbound travel with domestic being the main driver making up nearly 95 percent of the spending on Chinese business travel.
- China’s business travel market represents roughly 20 percent of the global business travel market, up from 5.1 percent in 2000, and total business travel spending grew by more than 16 percent per year over this period.
“In line with the findings of this report, we’re seeing an increase in the number of corporate cards being issued to meet the needs of business travelers from China,” said Jeff Liao, Country Manager for Visa China. “As they adapt to the increasing amount of travel, organizations are finding electronic payments easier to track for expense purposes and it’s also a more flexible way for employees to pay for travel related expenses wherever they may be in the world.”
Infrastructure Growth Continues at Breakneck Speed
Over the last decade China’s largest airports have doubled in size and the construction of additional airports continues including Beijing’s second international airport, slated to begin this year and open in 2018. It will house half a dozen civilian runways – double the number at Beijing’s current airport relieving a tremendous amount of pressure on Beijing Capital International Airport, currently the second busiest airport in the world (ranked by passenger volume). In addition to airports, the latest available data from Lodging Econometrics (2013Q2) shows China had 1,695 hotel projects in the pipeline amounting to 435,000 additional rooms, hitting another historical peak.
About the GBTA BTI™ Outlook – China
The GBTA BTI™ Outlook projects aggregate business travel trends over the next eight quarters. The report tracks total business travel spending, plus spending in the domestic and outbound business travel segments. It relates unfolding economic events at home and abroad to their resulting impacts on China’s business travel market. GBTA BTI™ Outlook – China 2014H1 is the fourth report in the semi-annual series. Semi-annual reports will be released each April and October.
The GBTA BTI™ Outlook uses an econometric model to better inform the forecast process. The model explicitly relates measures of business travel spending, uniquely sourced from other GBTA Foundation research, to key economic and market drivers of business travel including: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its components; employment and unemployment; measures of business and consumer confidence; international trade, foreign direct investment and exchange rates; commodity and oil prices; inflation measures; productivity rates for business travel; International Air Transport Association (IATA) Passenger and Revenue Performance and Smith Travel Research (STR) Global Hotel Performance.
The GBTA BTI™ Outlook – China is free of charge to all GBTA Members by clicking here. Non-members may purchase the report through the GBTA Foundation by emailing email@example.com.
Logos, product and company names mentioned are the property of their respective owners.