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GLOBAL HOTEL NETWORK (SM) REPORT: New York City

This week's GLOBAL HOTEL NETWORK (SM) REPORT focuses on New York City.  Amelia Lim, Associate,  Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels (New York City) reports:

It's hard to believe that the New York City hotel industry was in a recession in 1991, when the war in the Persian Gulf hampered the national and regional economies.  At that time, local hoteliers lobbied city officials for a lodging tax reduction in order to attract more visitors.  In 1996, taxes were reduced by 6.0 percentage points to 15.25 percent.  City officials got the hoped-for increase in visitation and a whole lot more: the average room rate has increased by 50.0 percent overall since 1994.  Of course, the reduction in hotel taxes was not the only driver contributing to the industry's recovery -- New York City's gateway location, excellent business infrastructure and diverse cultural amenities attract a wide range of businesses, tourists and conventioneers.  Reflecting the City's various facets of appeal, occupancy and average
daily rate levels for the local lodging industry have consistently been the highest in the United States.

Obviously, New York City's average daily rate and occupancy are higher than other major cities in the nation.  To put this into perspective, the City's 1999 RevPAR ($154.51) was 50 percent higher than its closest competitor, San Francisco ($104.47) and 100 percent greater than Chicago ($77.06).  On numerous fronts, the City is continuing to reinvent itself in new and dramatic ways, ranging from updated city institutions to museum expansions, from neighborhood revitalization efforts to major construction projects, and from important airport improvements to enhanced train service.  Tourism represents one of New York City's dominant economic sectors in terms of generating tax revenue and employment.  In 1998, New York City visitor spending totaled more than $14.8 billion.  According to the most recent statistics available (as of March 2000), the New York Convention & Visitors Bureau (NYCVB) estimates that visitor spending in 1999 increased to nearly $15.5 billion and is forecasted to exceed $16.4 billion by 2000. 

Crime remains at one of its lowest points in 35 years and the economy has boomed in recent years, notwithstanding the consolidation of several financial powerhouses.  The expanding frontier of high-technology commerce has also had a significant influence on the City's economy.  As of year-end 1999, new media employment was up by 105 percent compared to 1995 levels.  The City has developed a number of incentive programs to encourage high-tech entrepreneurs, including Plug 'n' Go (which earmarks Silicon Alley buildings for conversion to fully-wired, Internet-ready spaces with affordable leases) and the Discovery Fund (which invests amounts between $1 million and $9 million in growing New York City-based advanced-technology companies).

With a newly scrubbed image, steady growth in commerce and unprecedented investment in transportation infrastructure by the public and private sectors, hotel operators and developers now consider New York City to be one of the most attractive investment locales in the nation.  The City's renaissance  epitomized by the gentrification of marginal neighborhoods such as Times Square, Hell's Kitchen and the Meat-Packing District  has fueled tourism levels to an all-time high, leading to the lodging industry's boom. 

Average room rates in New York City for 1999 were the highest in the nation at $189.58, an improvement of 5.2 percent compared to the previous year.  San Francisco was the second-highest ranked lodging market in the nation last year, with average daily rate levels of approximately $135.  Occupancy for hotels in New York City at year-end 1999 was 81.5 percent, a decline of 0.2 percentage points compared to 1998.  The marginal fall off in the 1999 occupancy level resulted from operators that optimized profitability by controlling increasing room rates through yield management.  During the first half of 2000, occupancy in New York City increased to 84.4 percent, the highest level in recorded history and ADR increased by 8.0 percent compared to the same period in 1999, to $224.83.

New York City is currently the largest first-class hotel market in the United States, and ranks among the top ten markets in terms of overall inventory, with more than 72,000 rooms contained within its five boroughs.  The Borough of Manhattan, with a base of approximately 64,000 rooms, contains the majority of New York City's hotel supply.  By 2003, analysts estimate that the Borough of Manhattan could contain more than 70,000 hotel rooms.  Lodging development trends include conversion of functionally obsolete office space and boutique-style properties with highly individualistic design concepts.  Additionally, developers are venturing some distance from the City's traditional hotel core in Midtown Manhattan, to neighborhoods such as SoHo, TriBeCa, the East Village, Chinatown, the Financial District, and the outer Boroughs of Queens and Brooklyn.  A sampling of new hotel projects, representative of the types of development currently occurring, are outlined below:
_______________________________________________________
NEW DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
_______________________________________________________

W Union Square, 270 rooms
Park Avenue South, est. opening: 2000

TriBeCa Grand, 203 rooms
TriBeCa, opened 2000

Red Roof Inn Manhattan, 172 rooms
Midtown, opened 2000

Courtyard by Marriott JFK Airport, 162 rooms
JFK Airport, Queens, est. opening: 2000

Holiday Inn Wall Street, 138 rooms
Financial District, opened 2000

The Dylan, 108 rooms
Midtown, est. opening: 2000

60 Thompson Street, 100 rooms
SoHo, est. opening: 2000

The Chambers Hotel, 78 rooms
Midtown, est. opening:  2000

Wall Street Inn, 810 rooms
Financial District, opened 2000

The Henry Hudson, 810 rooms
Midtown West, est. opening: 2001

Embassy Suites Battery Park City, 463 rooms
Battery Park City, est. opening:  2001

Greenwich Village Hotel, 195 rooms
West Village, est. opening: 2001

Garden View Hotel, 123 rooms
Queens, est. opening: 2001

Westin New York, 858 rooms
Times Square, est. opening: 2002

Ritz-Carlton Central Park South, 300 rooms
Central Park South, est. opening:  2002

Mandarin Oriental Columbus Centre, 250 rooms
Central Park South, est. opening: 2004.

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels Research
_______________________________________________________

Strong occupancy and average rate growth trends in New York City suggest that there is a significant amount of unaccommodated demand in the market, even at the uppermost pricing ranges.  Strong economic growth has driven average rates to peak levels in recent months.  Even assuming that there may be some deceleration in average rate gains in the future as supply additions continue, the outlook for hotels in New York City remains strongly positive due to indications of a deep demand market which is anticipated to shore occupancy levels.  New York City's stability as a destination for travelers is underscored by the fact that the lowest occupancy levels, recorded during the early 1990s, remained in the 70-percent range, whereas occupancy in some major markets during that period plunged to the low 60-percent range.

Trophy hotel deals are commonplace in core urban markets such as New York City.  As investors flock to these markets, pricing continues to set records for assets with prominent locations, quality physical products and perceived growth.  In 1999, there were 17 transactions involving hotels priced at over $200,000 per key.  During the first half of 2000, there were seven transactions at that pricing level.  With few exceptions, these transactions involved New York City hotels and resorts.

_______________________________________________________
New York City Hotel Sales  1999 to Current     
Property, Sales Price (US $), Price per Key (ppk)
______________________________________________________

Four Seasons, $300 million, $808,625 ppk               
The Sutton, $36 million,  $422,619 ppk         
Essex House, $250 million,  $418,760 ppk       
The Stanhope, $65 million, $351,351 ppk
Westin Central Park South, $63 million, $300,481 ppk           
Hotel Lexington, $105 million,  $246,647 ppk           
Doral Park Avenue, $43 million, $228,723 ppk           
Days Inn Midtown, $56 million, $151,424 ppk            
Howard Johnson Plaza, $45 million, $151,424 ppk        
Sheraton JFK Airport, $25 million, $135,870 ppk        

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels Research
_______________________________________________________

___________________________________________
GLOBAL WEB SITE RECOMMENDATIONS
___________________________________________

Hotel Association of New York City
www.hanyc.org

New York State Hospitality & Tourism Association
www.nyshta.org
___________________________________________

Copyright (c) 2000 Global Hospitality Resources, Inc.,
San Diego, CA USA  www.globalhotelnetwork.com
All rights reserved.  Reprinted with permission.


GLOBAL HOTEL NETWORK (SM) REPORT SPONSORS
HENRY STEWART CONFERENCE STUDIES
_______________________________________________________

WHAT ARE GERMAN HOTELS WORTH?

A ONE-DAY CONFERENCE
Monday 30 October 2000
Le Meridien Park Hotel, Frankfurt-am-Main

A detailed briefing for all those involved in disposal, acquisition, operation and ownership of hotels, their agents and advisers.

Among the subjects covered in this conference are the following subjects: Funding the acquisition of hotels with particular regard to modernising / renovating
hotels the requirements of the lenders

*What is my hotel worth?
*The current market and discerning trends
*The German Hotel market in the context of Europe
*Changes in tax and law and their profound
consequences for the market

Speakers:
Matthias Schröder, Pannell Kerr Forster GmbH (Chairman)
Heather Saunders, Arthur Andersen Real Estate GmbH
Dr. Philipp Jebens, Gassner, Stock & Kollegen
Dirk Schuldes, Deutsche Bank Gruppe
Dr. Gisela Hank-Haase, ghh consult
Olivia Kayser, Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels
Horst Schaffer, Astron Hotels & Resorts AG
Bernard Forster, HVS International
Sibyl Jackel, PricewaterhouseCoopers
Wolfgang Rips, PricewaterhouseCoopers

Further information:
Alice Winkelman
Henry Stewart Conference Studies
Tel: +44 20 7404 3040
Fax: +44 20 7404 2081
Email: aliceW@henrystewart.co.uk
Website: www.henrystewart.co.uk

WAS SIND DEUTSCHE HOTELS WERT?

E
in Ein-Tageskonferenz
Montag 30 Oktober 2000
Le Meridien Park Hotel, Frankfurt-am-Main

Eine detailierte Betrachtung des Marktes für alle mit der Veräußerung, dem Erwerb, dem Betrieb und dem Besitz von Hotels befaßten Personen, ihre Bevollmächtigten und Berater.

Diese Konferenz behandelt, unter anderen, die folgende Subjekte: *Finanzierung des Erwerbs und des Hotelprojektes - Anforderung der Kreditgeber und Kreditnehmer

*Was ist mein Hotel wert?
*Der derzeitige Markt und die sich abzeichnenden Trends
*Der Deutsche Hotelimmobilienmarkt im Europäischen Kontext
*Auswirkungen der Unternehmenssteuerreform bei Hotelinvestitionen

Sprecher:
Matthias Schröder, Pannell Kerr Forster GmbH (Vorsitzer)
Heather Saunders, Arthur Andersen Real Estate GmbH
Dr. Philipp Jebens, Gassner, Stock & Kollegen
Dirk Schuldes, Deutsche Bank Gruppe
Dr. Gisela Hank-Haase, ghh consult
Olivia Kayser, Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels
Horst Schaffer, Astron Hotels & Resorts AG
Bernard Forster, HVS International
Sibyl Jackel, PricewaterhouseCoopers
Wolfgang Rips, PricewaterhouseCoopers

Weitere Auskünfte:
Alice Winkelman
Henry Stewart Conference Studies
Tel: +44 20 7404 3040
Fax: +44 20 7404 2081
Email: aliceW@henrystewart.co.uk
Website: www.henrystewart.co.uk
AMERICAN HOTEL & MOTEL ASSOCIATION (AH&MA)
_______________________________________________________

Did you know that American Hotel & Motel Association
members have higher occupancy, higher ADR, and higher
RevPAR than nonmembers? AH&MA provides its property
members with resources to operate more efficiently and
more profitably. To learn more, visit www.ahma.com or call
(800) 252-2462, ext. 4112.
 
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