Trends

Air Transport Association Expects 4 Percent Decline in Air Travel Over 12-Day Thanksgiving Holiday Period

Fewer Passengers Expected Despite Deep Reductions in Ticket Prices

Airline News Resource The Air Transport Association of America (ATA), the industry trade association for the leading U.S. airlines, today said that it expects a 4 percent year-over-year decrease in the number of passengers(1) traveling on U.S. airlines during the 2009 Thanksgiving holiday season(2), despite deep discounting over the past several months.

"It is increasingly apparent that the economic head winds facing the airlines and their customers are anything but behind us. The recent announcement that U.S. unemployment surpassed 10 percent highlights one of the key factors impacting consumer buying decisions," said ATA President and CEO James C. May.

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As typical with the Thanksgiving holiday travel period, flights are likely to be quite full, driven this year by the decrease in available seats and deep discounting, rather than by robust demand. Carriers have cut back their schedules in response to economic pressures, with 2009 capacity reductions the deepest since 1942. In addition, recently released government data show that average domestic airfares in the second quarter of 2009 fell to their lowest level since 1998, dropping 13 percent from the second quarter of 2008 - the largest year-to-year decline on record.

Based on sample data from the Thanksgiving 2008 period, the four busiest travel days surrounding Thanksgiving Day this year are expected to be Monday, Nov. 30, Sunday, Nov. 29, Friday, Nov. 20 and Wednesday, Nov. 25, respectively.

ATA is expecting the federal government once again to open up Special Activity Airspace to help ease congestion.

May encouraged passengers to pack light, to check their flight status before leaving for the airport, and to remember to arrive early.

"During this busy travel period especially, passengers should plan ahead and provide plenty of time for airport check-in and security screening," said May.

(1) The total number of revenue passengers boarding aircraft in scheduled service.

(2) Defined as Friday, Nov. 20 through Tuesday, Dec. 1.



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